Projected Air Temperature Extremes and Maximum Heat Conditions Over the Middle-East-North Africa (MENA) Region
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract This study analyzes projected heat extremes over the Middle-East–North Africa (MENA) region until end of twenty-first century with a number temperature indices based on absolute values and thresholds to describe hot conditions. We use model daily near-surface air (2-m) ( $$T_\mathrm{{max}}$$ T max $$T_\mathrm{{min}}$$ min ) derive for period 1980–2100. The data were taken from 18 CMIP5 models combining historical (1980–2005) scenario runs (2006–2100 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5 pathways). Results show domain-wide warming all emission scenarios. Our findings business-as-usual pathway indicate excessive more than 8 $$^\circ $$ ∘ C in northern part domain (south Europe) annual warmest day (TXx) night (TNx). In hottest parts record high temperatures reached 50 recent past, which could increase at least 56 by century, while are expected occur large MENA region. A significant is days (TX $$>40^\circ > 40 C) nights (TN $$>30 ^\circ 30 For 2071–2100 will become normal during summer some locations exceed 180 100 days, respectively. Calculations corresponding index suggest that several areas across may reach levels critical human survival.
منابع مشابه
HIV and AIDS in the Middle East & North Africa (MENA) Middle East & North Africa updated August2017.png
متن کامل
Economic Consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle East and North Africa Region Countries
From the first reported case of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on December 30, 2019 in Wuhan, China, the number of confirmed cases of the disease has been increased continuously and exponentially up to now. The event has emerged as a clear threat to global health such that the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declared the outbreak of the disease a pandemic on March 11, 2020. The ...
متن کاملHuman Schistosomiasis in the Middle East and North Africa Region
Human schistosomiasis is one of the most common Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs); it is an intravascular parasite caused by the trematode blood fluke (Schistosoma). Most human infections are caused by S. haematobium, S. mansoni, and S. japonicum. An estimated total of 237 people are infected worldwide, and 732 million people are at risk of being infected. In the Middle East and North Africa (...
متن کاملThe case for developing publicly-accessible datasets for health services research in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region
BACKGROUND The existence of publicly-accessible datasets comprised a significant opportunity for health services research to evolve into a science that supports health policy making and evaluation, proper inter- and intra-organizational decisions and optimal clinical interventions. This paper investigated the role of publicly-accessible datasets in the enhancement of health care systems in the ...
متن کاملA systematic review of childhood obesity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region: Health impact and management
Childhood obesity has serious consequences both immediately and in adulthood. The rates of obesity in children and adolescents are rising rapidly in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. We systematically searched the literature to explore adverse effects associated with childhood obesity in this region and the management efforts for dealing with it. Inclusion criteria were: English-l...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Earth systems and environment
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2509-9426', '2509-9434']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-022-00297-y